Page StatusAI Transition Model
Misalignment Potential
Entry
Misalignment Potential
Model RoleRoot Factor (AI System)
Key ParametersAlignment Robustness, Interpretability Coverage, Human Oversight Quality
Primary OutcomeExistential Catastrophe
Related
ai-transition-model-scenarios
Existential CatastropheAi Transition Model ScenarioExistential CatastropheThis page contains only a React component placeholder with no actual content visible for evaluation. The component would need to render content dynamically for assessment.AI TakeoverAi Transition Model ScenarioAI TakeoverScenarios where AI systems seize control from humans
ai-transition-model-parameters
Alignment RobustnessAi Transition Model ParameterAlignment RobustnessThis page contains only a React component import with no actual content rendered in the provided text. Cannot assess importance or quality without the actual substantive content.Interpretability CoverageAi Transition Model ParameterInterpretability CoverageThis page contains only a React component import with no actual content displayed. Cannot assess interpretability coverage methodology or findings without rendered content.Human Oversight QualityAi Transition Model ParameterHuman Oversight QualityThis page contains only a React component placeholder with no actual content rendered. Cannot assess substance, methodology, or conclusions.Safety-Capability GapAi Transition Model ParameterSafety-Capability GapThis page contains no actual content - only a React component reference that dynamically loads content from elsewhere in the system. Cannot evaluate substance, methodology, or conclusions without t...Safety Culture StrengthAi Transition Model ParameterSafety Culture StrengthThis page contains only a React component import with no actual content displayed. Cannot assess the substantive content about safety culture strength in AI development.
Entry
Misalignment Potential
Model RoleRoot Factor (AI System)
Key ParametersAlignment Robustness, Interpretability Coverage, Human Oversight Quality
Primary OutcomeExistential Catastrophe
Related
ai-transition-model-scenarios
Existential CatastropheAi Transition Model ScenarioExistential CatastropheThis page contains only a React component placeholder with no actual content visible for evaluation. The component would need to render content dynamically for assessment.AI TakeoverAi Transition Model ScenarioAI TakeoverScenarios where AI systems seize control from humans
ai-transition-model-parameters
Alignment RobustnessAi Transition Model ParameterAlignment RobustnessThis page contains only a React component import with no actual content rendered in the provided text. Cannot assess importance or quality without the actual substantive content.Interpretability CoverageAi Transition Model ParameterInterpretability CoverageThis page contains only a React component import with no actual content displayed. Cannot assess interpretability coverage methodology or findings without rendered content.Human Oversight QualityAi Transition Model ParameterHuman Oversight QualityThis page contains only a React component placeholder with no actual content rendered. Cannot assess substance, methodology, or conclusions.Safety-Capability GapAi Transition Model ParameterSafety-Capability GapThis page contains no actual content - only a React component reference that dynamically loads content from elsewhere in the system. Cannot evaluate substance, methodology, or conclusions without t...Safety Culture StrengthAi Transition Model ParameterSafety Culture StrengthThis page contains only a React component import with no actual content displayed. Cannot assess the substantive content about safety culture strength in AI development.
Misalignment Potential measures the likelihood that AI systems will pursue goals other than what we intend. This aggregate combines the technical and organizational factors that determine whether advanced AI systems might behave in harmful ways despite our efforts.
Primary outcome affected: Existential CatastropheAi Transition Model ScenarioExistential CatastropheThis page contains only a React component placeholder with no actual content visible for evaluation. The component would need to render content dynamically for assessment. ↑↑↑
When misalignment potential is high, catastrophic loss of control, accidents at scale, and goal divergence become more likely. Reducing this potential is the most direct lever for reducing existential and catastrophic AI risk.
Component Parameters
Influences
+AI Takeover
AI systems gaining decisive control.
RapidGradual
strong medium weak
Internal Dynamics
These components interact:
- Interpretability enables alignment verification: We can only confirm alignment if we understand model internals
- Safety culture sustains investment: Without organizational commitment, safety research loses funding to capabilities
- Oversight requires interpretability: Human overseers need tools to understand what systems are doing
- Gap closure requires all components: No single factor is sufficient; safety capacity emerges from their combination
How This Affects Scenarios
Contributing Factors
- ↑AI CapabilitiesFactor