Geddes-Wright-Frantz Autocratic Regimes dataset

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Cambridge University Press(peer-reviewed)·cambridge.org/core/journals/perspectives-on-politics/arti...

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Rating inherited from publication venue: Cambridge University Press

This political science dataset is relevant to AI safety discussions about power concentration, lock-in risks, and the structural factors that sustain or undermine authoritarian governance, informing concerns about AI-enabled authoritarianism.

Metadata

Importance: 42/100dataset

Summary

This 2014 paper by Geddes, Wright, and Frantz introduces a comprehensive dataset classifying autocratic regimes by type (military, party, personalist, monarchy) and tracking their breakdown and transition patterns from 1946 onward. It provides systematic empirical data on how different authoritarian regime types form, persist, and collapse. The dataset is widely used in comparative politics and political science research on authoritarianism and democratization.

Key Points

•Classifies autocratic regimes into distinct types (military, single-party, personalist, monarchical) enabling comparative analysis of stability and failure modes
•Tracks regime breakdown and transition events from 1946, covering the full post-WWII era of authoritarian governance globally
•Provides empirical foundation for studying why some autocracies are more durable than others and what drives democratic transitions
•Dataset is a standard reference in political science for quantitative research on authoritarianism, coups, and regime change
•Relevant to AI governance discussions about how concentrated power structures form, persist, and fail

Cited by 1 page

Page	Type	Quality
AI Surveillance and Regime Durability Model	Analysis	64.0

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## Article contents

- [Abstract](https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/perspectives-on-politics/article/abs/autocratic-breakdown-and-regime-transitions-a-new-data-set/EBDB9E5E64CF899AD50B9ACC630B593F#sec0)
- [References](https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/perspectives-on-politics/article/abs/autocratic-breakdown-and-regime-transitions-a-new-data-set/EBDB9E5E64CF899AD50B9ACC630B593F#references-list)

# Autocratic Breakdown and Regime Transitions: A New Data Set

Published online by Cambridge University Press:
**14 July 2014**

[Barbara Geddes](https://www.cambridge.org/core/search?filters%5BauthorTerms%5D=Barbara%20Geddes&eventCode=SE-AU),

[Joseph Wright](https://www.cambridge.org/core/search?filters%5BauthorTerms%5D=Joseph%20Wright&eventCode=SE-AU) and

[Erica Frantz](https://www.cambridge.org/core/search?filters%5BauthorTerms%5D=Erica%20Frantz&eventCode=SE-AU)

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[Article](https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/perspectives-on-politics/article/abs/autocratic-breakdown-and-regime-transitions-a-new-data

... (truncated, 54 KB total)

Resource ID: 2351d3c1aca0193a | Stable ID: YjM0NGFkN2