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Gallup·news.gallup.com/poll/394103/confidence-supreme-court-sink...

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Rating inherited from publication venue: Gallup

This Gallup poll is tangentially relevant to AI governance discussions about public trust in institutions; it illustrates how institutional legitimacy can erode rapidly, a concern sometimes raised in AI oversight and governance contexts.

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Importance: 12/100news articlenews

Summary

A June 2022 Gallup poll found that only 25% of Americans expressed confidence in the U.S. Supreme Court, an 11-point drop from 2021 and a new record low in nearly 50 years of polling. The decline was largely driven by anticipation of the court overturning Roe v. Wade, with confidence falling among Democrats and independents in particular.

Key Points

  • •Only 25% of Americans had 'a great deal' or 'quite a lot' of confidence in the Supreme Court, down from 36% in 2021.
  • •The 11-point single-year drop was roughly double the decline seen in most other U.S. institutions measured.
  • •The previous record low was 30% in 2014; the 2022 figure is five points below that.
  • •Confidence dropped primarily among Democrats and independents, coinciding with the leaked draft opinion on Roe v. Wade.
  • •Americans opposed overturning Roe v. Wade by nearly a 2-to-1 margin at the time of the poll.

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Confidence in U.S. Supreme Court Sinks to Historic Low

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#### Story Highlights

- 25% of Americans have confidence in Supreme Court, down from 36% in 2021
- Current reading is five percentage points lower than prior record low
- Confidence is down among Democrats and independents this year

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- With the U.S. Supreme Court expected to overturn the 1973 _Roe v. Wade_ decision before the end of its 2021-2022 term, Americans' confidence in the court has dropped sharply over the past year and reached a new low in Gallup's nearly 50-year trend. Twenty-five percent of U.S. adults say they have "a great deal" or "quite a lot" of confidence in the U.S. Supreme Court, down from 36% a year ago and five percentage points lower than the previous low recorded in 2014.

These results are based on a June 1-20 Gallup poll that included Gallup's annual update on confidence in U.S. institutions. The survey was completed before the end of the court's term and before it issued its major rulings for that term. Many institutions have suffered a decline in confidence this year, but the 11-point drop in confidence in the Supreme Court is roughly double what it is for most institutions that experienced a decline. Gallup will release the remainder of the confidence in institutions results in early July.

The Supreme Court is likely to issue a rulin

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