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Commodity Futures Trading Commission | CFTC
governmentcftc.gov·cftc.gov/
Relevant to AI safety researchers interested in prediction markets as forecasting tools, as CFTC's regulatory jurisdiction directly shapes which prediction market platforms can legally operate in the U.S.
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Summary
The CFTC is the U.S. federal agency regulating commodity futures, derivatives, and prediction markets. It oversees market integrity, enforces against fraud and manipulation, and coordinates with the SEC on financial market regulation. Its jurisdiction over prediction markets is relevant to AI safety discussions around forecasting and information aggregation mechanisms.
Key Points
- •CFTC has reaffirmed exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets, directly impacting platforms used for AI-relevant forecasting and information aggregation.
- •Historic MOU with the SEC aims to harmonize financial market regulation and reduce duplicative oversight across derivatives and securities.
- •CFTC-SEC joint crypto meetings signal increasing regulatory attention to emerging digital asset and prediction market technologies.
- •The agency promotes innovation while preserving core protections against fraud, manipulation, and systemic risk in financial markets.
- •Whistleblower program and enforcement actions (e.g., $14M+ judgments) reflect active regulatory posture in these markets.
Cited by 1 page
| Page | Type | Quality |
|---|---|---|
| Prediction Markets (AI Forecasting) | Approach | 56.0 |
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Commodity Futures Trading Commission | CFTC
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CFTC and SEC Announce Historic MOU Between Agencies
CFTC Reaffirms Exclusive Jurisdiction over Prediction Markets
CFTC-SEC Joint Crypto Era Meeting
Holding Wrongdoers Accountable
Whistleblower.gov
CFTC and SEC Announce Historic MOU Between Agencies
Working together to strengthen the regulatory framework of U.S. financial markets
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CFTC Reaffirms Exclusive Jurisdiction over Prediction Markets
Learn More
CFTC-SEC Joint Crypto Era Meeting
See webcast.
Learn More
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Holding Wrongdoers Accountable
Texas resident to pay over $14 million for misappropriation of confidential information, illegal kickbacks
Learn more
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Whistleblower.gov
Find information about CFTC's Whistleblower Program
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Latest News
13
Mar
2026
Press Release: CFTC Secures Judgement Against New York Companies to Pay Over $2.4 Million in Res…
The CFTC today announced the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of New York entered< a default…
12
Mar
2026
Press Release: CFTC Seeks Public Comment on Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking Relating to P…
The CFTC today published an Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking seeking public comment on the need to amend…
12
Mar
2026
Press Release: CFTC Staff Issues Prediction Markets Advisory
The CFTC’s Division of Market Oversight today issued a prediction markets advisory regarding the listing for…
11
Mar
2026
Press Release: CFTC and SEC Announce Historic Memorandum of Understanding Between Agencies
The CFTC and SEC today announced that they have entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to guide…
09
Mar
2026
Public Statements & Remarks: CFTC Chairman Michael S. Selig, Chairman: FIA Global Cleared Markets Conference
View All Latest News
Innovation at the CFTC
Promoting an approach that encourages innovation while preserving core protections against fraud, manipulation, and systemic risk.
CFTC-SEC Harmonization
Strengthening the regulatory framework of U.S. financial markets where the CFTC and SEC coordinate seamlessly, reduce duplicative regulation, and provide markets with the clarity they deserve.
Commitments of Traders
A breakdown of each Tuesday's open interest for
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