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Cold Takes – Holden Karnofsky's Blog
webCredibility Rating
3/5
Good(3)Good quality. Reputable source with community review or editorial standards, but less rigorous than peer-reviewed venues.
Rating inherited from publication venue: Cold Takes
Influential blog by an Open Philanthropy co-CEO; the 'Most Important Century' series is widely read in the AI safety community and provides strategic framing for why AI safety work is urgent.
Metadata
Importance: 62/100blog posthomepage
Summary
Cold Takes is Holden Karnofsky's (co-CEO of Open Philanthropy) personal blog exploring big-picture questions about AI, existential risk, effective altruism, and how to think about the most important challenges of our time. It features in-depth essays on AI timelines, transformative AI scenarios, and philanthropic strategy. The blog is notable for its 'Most Important Century' series arguing that we may be living at a uniquely pivotal moment in history.
Key Points
- •Hosts the influential 'Most Important Century' series arguing current decades may be uniquely pivotal for humanity's long-term future.
- •Covers AI timelines, transformative AI risk, and the implications of advanced AI from a longtermist perspective.
- •Written by Holden Karnofsky, co-CEO of Open Philanthropy, a major funder of AI safety research.
- •Explores how individuals and philanthropists should prioritize actions given uncertainty about AI development trajectories.
- •Bridges technical AI safety concerns with broader existential risk, policy, and effective altruism considerations.
Cited by 2 pages
| Page | Type | Quality |
|---|---|---|
| Holden Karnofsky | Person | 40.0 |
| Sharp Left Turn | Risk | 69.0 |
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# Cold Takes
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Latest post: **[Good job opportunities for helping with the most important century](https://www.cold-takes.com/good-job-opportunities-for-helping-with-the-most-important-century/ "Good job opportunities for helping with the most important century")**
## Featured posts
### What does Bing Chat tell us about AI risk?
[What does Bing Chat tell us about AI risk?](https://www.cold-takes.com/what-does-bing-chat-tell-us-about-ai-risk/)
### Jobs that can help with the most important century
[Jobs that can help with the most important century](https://www.cold-takes.com/jobs-that-can-help-with-the-most-important-century/)
### Spreading messages to help with the most important century
[Spreading messages to help with the most important century](https://www.cold-takes.com/spreading-messages-to-help-with-the-most-important-century/)
### How we could stumble into AI catastrophe
[How we could stumble into AI catastrophe](https://www.cold-takes.com/how-we-could-stumble-into-ai-catastrophe/)
### Transformative AI issues (not just misalignment): an overview
[Transformative AI issues (not just misalignment): an overview](https://www.cold-takes.com/transformative-ai-issues-not-just-misalignment-an-overview/)
### Racing through a minefield: the AI deployment problem
[Racing through a minefield: the AI deployment problem](https://www.cold-takes.com/racing-through-a-minefield-the-ai-deployment-problem/)
### High-level hopes for AI alignment
[High-level hopes for AI alignment](https://www.cold-takes.com/high-level-hopes-for-ai-alignment/)
### AI Safety Seems Hard to Measure
[AI Safety Seems Hard to Measure](https://www.cold-takes.com/ai-safety-seems-hard-to-measure/)
### Why Would AI "Aim" To Defeat Humanity?
[Why Would AI "Aim" To Defeat Humanity?](https://www.cold-takes.com/why-would-ai-aim-to-defeat-humani
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