Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
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Published by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in late 2024, this piece is relevant to discussions of AI's societal risks, democratic backsliding, and the political dimensions of AI governance at the international level.
Metadata
Summary
This Carnegie Endowment analysis examines how AI threatens democratic governance through disinformation, surveillance, and power concentration, while exploring whether democratic institutions can adapt to manage AI's destabilizing effects. It assesses the risk that AI accelerates authoritarian consolidation and erodes checks and balances that protect democratic norms.
Key Points
- •AI enables large-scale disinformation and manipulation campaigns that can undermine electoral integrity and public trust in democratic institutions.
- •Surveillance and predictive policing capabilities powered by AI disproportionately benefit authoritarian actors seeking to suppress dissent.
- •Concentration of AI capabilities among a small number of states and corporations creates dangerous asymmetries of power with geopolitical implications.
- •Democratic institutions were not designed to handle the pace and scale of AI-driven disruption, raising questions about institutional adaptability.
- •International coordination and governance frameworks are needed to prevent a race to the bottom on AI safety and democratic norms.
Cited by 3 pages
| Page | Type | Quality |
|---|---|---|
| AI-Enabled Authoritarian Takeover | Risk | 61.0 |
| AI Value Lock-in | Risk | 64.0 |
| AI-Driven Trust Decline | Risk | 55.0 |
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Article
[Carnegie Europe](https://carnegieendowment.org/europe)
## Can Democracy Survive the Disruptive Power of AI?
AI models enable malicious actors to manipulate information and disrupt electoral processes, threatening democracies. Tackling these challenges requires a comprehensive approach that combines technical solutions and societal efforts.
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By[Raluca Csernatoni](https://carnegieendowment.org/europe/people/raluca-csernatoni)
Published onDec 18, 2024
Since the recent popularization of powerful generative artificial intelligence (AI) systems, there are growing fears that they will impact and [destabilize democracies](https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/how-ai-threatens-democracy/) in unforeseen ways. These emerging technologies, made famous by [large language models](https://cset.georgetown.edu/article/what-are-generative-ai-large-language-models-and-foundation-models/) (LLMs) like OpenAI’s ChatGPT chatbot, refer to algorithms that can produce new content based on the data they have been trained on. They can write text and music, craft realistic images and videos, generate synthetic voices, and manipulate vast amounts of information. While generative AI models hold tremendous potential for innovation and creativity, they also open the door to misuse in various ways for democratic societies. These technologies present significant threats to democracies by enabling malicious actors—from political opponents to foreign adversaries—to manipulate public perceptions, disrupt electoral processes, and amplify misinformation.
With increased use of AI-generated content and a [cohort of countries](https://freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-net/2018/rise-digital-authoritarianism) moving toward digital authoritarianism by embracing AI-supercharged mass surveillance, the stakes could not be higher. Beyond generally introducing more complexity into the information environment and allowing the faster creation of higher-quality content by more people, generative AI models have the potential to impact democratic discourse by challenging the integrity of elections and further enabling digital authoritarianism. But this is just one facet of a larger issue: the collision between rapidly advancing AI technologies and the erosion of democratic safeguards. The intersection of digital authoritarianism and AI systems—from simpler AI technologies to the latest state-of-the-art LLMs—empowers autocratic governments both domestically and in their [foreign interference](https://freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-net/2023/repressive-power-artificial-intelligence) tactics, presenting a key challenge for twenty-first-century democracy.
The core of the problem lies in the speed and scale at which AI tools, once deployed or weaponized on social media platfo
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