FutureSearch gives odds of runaway AI in new AI futurism report - PRWeb

web

prweb.com·prweb.com/releases/futuresearch-gives-odds-of-runaway-ai-...

This is a press release announcing a FutureSearch forecasting report on AI risk probabilities; users should seek the underlying full report for detailed methodology and findings, as press releases typically summarize without technical depth.

Metadata

Importance: 28/100press releasenews

Summary

FutureSearch, an AI forecasting organization, published a report providing probabilistic estimates for runaway or uncontrolled AI scenarios. The report applies structured forecasting methodology to quantify existential and catastrophic AI risks, offering specific odds on various AI futures. It represents an attempt to bring rigor and numerical precision to long-term AI risk assessment.

Key Points

•FutureSearch provides explicit probability estimates for runaway or uncontrolled AI scenarios using forecasting methodology
•The report applies structured futurism techniques to quantify AI existential and catastrophic risk scenarios
•Offers numerical odds on AI futures, attempting to ground speculative risk discussions in probabilistic reasoning
•Represents a public-facing forecasting effort aimed at communicating AI risk likelihood to broader audiences
•Press release format suggests this is a summary/announcement of a more detailed underlying report

Cited by 1 page

Page	Type	Quality
FutureSearch	Organization	50.0

Cached Content Preview

HTTP 200Fetched Mar 20, 20263 KB

[Accessibility Statement](https://www.cision.com/about/accessibility/) [Skip Navigation](https://www.prweb.com/releases/futuresearch-gives-odds-of-runaway-ai-in-new-ai-futurism-report-302420529.html#main)

By modeling how AI can be utilized to speed up development of AI itself, FutureSearch forecasts chances of massive technological, political and social disruption as soon as 2027

SAN FRANCISCO, April 4, 2025 /PRNewswire-PRWeb/ -- FutureSearch, a startup using AI to improve the accuracy of the best human forecasters, today announced that it has collaborated with the AI Futures Project by contributing core research in AI 2027. The recently-released report paints a detailed, compelling future of a world shaped in the very near term by AI advancements, including disruptions to the world's technological, political and social spheres.

AI 2027 includes five major forecasts from FutureSearch's leading academic forecasters and AI/ML experts, including when software development may be fully automated and how much AI research progress may accelerate. Daniel Kokotajlo, a former OpenAI researcher who has made other resonant AI predictions, contributed to the report.

"The rate of AI development is one of today's most important questions. Our forecasting capabilities enable us to reimagine how AI may impact our humanity," said Dan Schwarz, FutureSearch CEO. "Using AI to forecast the future of AI is a unique opportunity that we believe has incredible potential."

For more information about FutureSearch's contributions to AI 2027, or to download a report summary, visit [futuresearch.ai/ai-2027](https://c212.net/c/link/?t=0&l=en&o=4398583-1&h=1890621030&u=http%3A%2F%2Ffuturesearch.ai%2Fai-2027&a=futuresearch.ai%2Fai-2027). To read AI 2027 in full, visit [ai-2027.com](https://c212.net/c/link/?t=0&l=en&o=4398583-1&h=230236434&u=http%3A%2F%2Fai-2027.com%2F&a=ai-2027.com).

About FutureSearch: FutureSeach is an AI forecasting company founded by ex-Waymo and ex-Google employee Dan Schwarz; and Lawrence Philips, who led Metaculus' AI team. In 2024, FutureSearch was the first to demonstrate an autonomous AI forecaster that was a net winner of bets against real humans on important geopolitical questions. FutureSearch has raised a (yet unannounced) seed round to help support its efforts.

**Media Contact**

Lauren Schiffman, FutureSearch, 1 415-684-8080, [lauren@pressfriendly.com](mailto:lauren@pressfriendly.com), [https://futuresearch.ai](https://c212.net/c/link/?t=0&l=en&o=4398583-1&h=684993998&u=https%3A%2F%2Ffuturesearch.ai&a=https%3A%2F%2Ffuturesearch.ai)

SOURCE FutureSearch

![](https://rt.prnewswire.com/rt.gif?NewsItemId=UN57487&Transmission_Id=202504040900PR_NEWS_USPR_____UN57487&DateId=20250404)

[![FutureSearch](https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/2657848/FSlogo.jpg?w=500)](https://www.prweb.com/releases/futuresearch-gives-odds-of-runaway-ai-in-new-ai-futurism-report-302420529.html#)

FutureSearch

Resource ID: f07dfac961a60a62 | Stable ID: Nzg0NTVmMD