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CASP14 - 14th Community Wide Experiment on Critical Assessment of Protein Structure Prediction

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predictioncenter.org·predictioncenter.org/casp14/

CASP14 is the 14th biennial protein structure prediction competition where AlphaFold2 by DeepMind achieved a breakthrough, demonstrating transformative AI capabilities in biology and illustrating how AI benchmarks can signal major capability jumps relevant to AI safety discussions.

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Summary

CASP14 is the 2020 edition of the biennial Critical Assessment of Structure Prediction competition, where ~100 research groups worldwide submitted over 67,000 protein structure models across 90 targets. This round became historically significant as DeepMind's AlphaFold2 achieved near-experimental accuracy, representing a landmark AI capability breakthrough. Results were published in a special issue of the journal Proteins in 2021.

Key Points

  • AlphaFold2 achieved a landmark breakthrough in protein structure prediction at CASP14, solving a 50-year-old grand challenge in biology.
  • Nearly 100 research groups submitted over 67,000 models on 90 protein targets, making it a large-scale community benchmark.
  • CASP14 received widespread media coverage (Nature, Science, NYT, BBC) highlighting the significance of the AI capability jump.
  • The competition runs every two years and provides independent, blind assessment of protein modeling methods against experimental structures.
  • Results demonstrate how AI benchmarks can serve as clear signals of transformative capability advances with real-world scientific impact.

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Home - CASP14 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 14th Community Wide Experiment on the
Critical Assessment of Techniques for Protein Structure Prediction 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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 CASP14
 
 
 
 
 
CASP provides an independent mechanism for the assessment of methods of protein structure modeling. From May through August 2020, CASP organizers have been posting on this website sequences of unknown protein structures for modeling. Protein models have been collected from May through mid-September, and evaluated as the experimental coordinates become available. In the summer and fall, the tens of thousands of models submitted by approximately 100 research groups worldwide are processed and evaluated. Independent assessors in each of the prediction categories bring independent insight into their assessment. Tools for viewing, comparison, and analysis of submitted models are available from this website. 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 Targets 
 Predictors 
 Conference 
 Results 
 CASP14 in news 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 Target List 
 
 
 Domain Definition 
 
 
 Target Submission 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 Submit a prediction 
 
 
 Model Viewer 
 
 
 Archive: Server Predictions 
 
 
 Archive: All Predictions 
 
 
 Groups Info 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 Register [external link] 
 
 
 
 Abstracts 
 Abstracts 

 Abstract book will be available here in the end of October. 
 Abstract submission 

 Abstract submission deadline - September 15, 2020 
 
 
 
 
 Program

 Meeting program will be available here in the end of November. 
 
 
 
 Snapshot of the Conference Program 
 Program 
 
 
 
 
 Presentations 
 
 
 
 
 Recordings 
 
 
 
 
 CASP14 Conference Platforms 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 AUTOMATIC EVALUATION 
 
 
 CASP14 results will be published

 in a special edition of Proteins in 2021.

 
 
 
 

 Parseable Data 
 
 
 
 Ranking tables 
will be available here on Nov 30. 
 
 
 Rankings: Regular targets (T) 
 
 
 Rankings: Multimeric targets (H,To) 
 
 
 Rankings: Inter-domain prediction 
 
 
 Rankings: Refinement targets (R) 
 
 
 Rankings: Contact predictions 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
 CASP Press Release 
 
 
 Nature 
 
 
 Science 
 
 
 New York Times 
 

 
 BBC news 
 
 
 Fortune 
 
 
 CNBC news 
 
 
 Bloomberg 
 
 
 Financial Post 
 
 
 MIT Technology Review 
 
 
 The Guardian 
 
 
 The Telegraph 
 
 
 Daily Mail 
 
 
 Tech Crunch 
 
 
 Venture Beat 
 
 
 New Scientist 
 
 
 SciTech Daily 
 
 
 Eureka Alert 
 
 
 News Medical 
 
 
 MedCity News 
 
 
 The Verge 
 
 
 DeepMind blog 
 
 
 

 
 

 
 CASP14 in numbers 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 

 
 
 Detailed description of the experiment

CASP (Critical Assessment of Structure Prediction) is a community wide experiment to determine and advance the state of the art in modeling protein structure from amino acid sequence. Every two years, participants are invited to submit models for a set of proteins for which the exper

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