Samotsvety Forecasting - GitHub Organization
webCredibility Rating
Good quality. Reputable source with community review or editorial standards, but less rigorous than peer-reviewed venues.
Rating inherited from publication venue: GitHub
GitHub organization page for Samotsvety Forecasting, a group focused on improving forecasting methods and scoring rules, which is relevant to AI safety through better prediction and evaluation of AI-related risks and outcomes.
Metadata
Summary
This is the GitHub organization page for Samotsvety Forecasting, a forecasting group with two public repositories: one for their website and one proposing improved scoring rules for forecasting platforms. The optimal-scoring repository proposes three alternative scoring rules to address limitations of current methods, including critiques of the Keynesian Beauty Contest approach used in some forecasting research.
Key Points
- •Samotsvety Forecasting maintains two public repositories: their website and an optimal-scoring research project.
- •The optimal-scoring repo proposes three scoring rules as improvements over current forecasting platform alternatives.
- •Critiques the Keynesian Beauty Contest method used in Karger et al. for resolving otherwise unresolvable forecasting questions.
- •Samotsvety is a well-regarded forecasting group whose work informs probabilistic reasoning about AI safety and other risks.
Cached Content Preview
Popular repositories Loading optimal-scoring optimal-scoring Public This git repository outlines three scoring rules that I believe might serve current forecasting platforms better than current alternatives. It stems from my frustrations with current scoring rules … TeX 18 samotsvety.org samotsvety.org Public Repository for samotsvety.org Smarty 2 Repositories --> Loading Type All Public Sources Forks Archived Mirrors Templates Language All Smarty TeX Sort Last updated Name Stars Showing 2 of 2 repositories samotsvety.org Public Repository for samotsvety.org Uh oh! There was an error while loading. Please reload this page . SamotsvetyForecasting/samotsvety.org’s past year of commit activity Smarty 0 2 0 0 Updated Jul 13, 2025 optimal-scoring Public This git repository outlines three scoring rules that I believe might serve current forecasting platforms better than current alternatives. It stems from my frustrations with current scoring rules and with the Keynesian Beauty Contest method used in Karger et al. to resolve questions which may otherwise seem unresolvable Uh oh! There was an error while loading. Please reload this page . SamotsvetyForecasting/optimal-scoring’s past year of commit activity TeX 18 0 5 0 Updated Apr 18, 2022 People This organization has no public members. You must be a member to see who’s a part of this organization. Top languages Loading… Uh oh! There was an error while loading. Please reload this page . Most used topics Loading… Uh oh! There was an error while loading. Please reload this page .
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