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Vidur Kapur

@vidurkapur

![Vidur Kapur's avatar](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LKOX!,w_88,h_88,c_fill,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45e740a1-51d7-4ce5-87d6-4e0a232b3760_750x750.jpeg)

Superforecaster at Good Judgment. Also forecasting at Sentinel, Swift Centre, Samotsvety, RAND and a hedge fund. Impartial beneficence enthusiast.

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Sentinel Global Risks Watch

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[![Vidur Kapur's avatar](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LKOX!,w_36,h_36,c_fill,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45e740a1-51d7-4ce5-87d6-4e0a232b3760_750x750.jpeg)](https://substack.com/@vidurkapur?utm_source=substack-feed-item)

[Vidur Kapur](https://substack.com/@vidurkapur)6d

[![](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7DnV!,w_520,h_272,c_fill,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep,g_auto/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89e377b5-b29c-4f9d-98a5-67ec72ec7233_1254x1260.jpeg)](https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/us-iran-stalemate-continues-putin)

[![Sentinel Global Risks Watch](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BzRT!,w_20,h_20,c_fill,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33bc3ab6-65d1-4b39-852a-81aa1d0a8d99_600x600.png)](https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/us-iran-stalemate-continues-putin)

[Sentinel Global Risks Watch](https://blog.sentinel-team.org/)

🟡 US-Iran stalemate continues, Putin says Ukraine war may come to an end, White House considers AI executive order \|\| Global Risks Weekly Roundup #19/2026

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[![Vidur Kapur's avatar](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LKOX!,w_36,h_36,c_fill,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45e740a1-51d7-4ce5-87d6-4e0a232b3760_750x750.jpeg)](https://substack.com/@vidurkapur?utm_source=substack-feed-item)

[Vidur Kapur](https://substack.com/@vidurkapur)May 4

[![](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Dn1k!,w_520,h_272,c_fill,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep,g_auto/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1fdc6

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