Citation

AI Timelines - Footnote 21

partial85% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The claim mentions 'biological anchors' estimating median timelines in the 2040s–2050s, but this is not mentioned in the source. The claim contrasts Hanson's view with 'inside-view models like biological anchors', but the source does not explicitly frame Hanson's view as contrasting with inside-view models.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

aiimpacts.org/conversation-with-robin-hanson/(1 check)

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: <EntityLink id="robin-hanson">Robin Hanson</EntityLink>'s outside view analysis estimated "at least a century" to human-level AI based on expert estimates of progress rates, arguing that most technolo…

Note: The claim mentions 'biological anchors' estimating median timelines in the 2040s–2050s, but this is not mentioned in the source. The claim contrasts Hanson's view with 'inside-view models like biological anchors', but the source does not explicitly frame Hanson's view as contrasting with inside-view models.

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Record ID: page:ai-timelines:fn21