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AI Timelines - Footnote 28

partial85% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The claim mentions periods of reduced activity and funding in the 1970s and 1980s, which is not mentioned in the source. The claim states that some long-term forecasts tracked closer to observed compute and capability trends than purely intuitive predictions, which is not explicitly stated in the source, but is implied.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
Found: The AI field experienced multiple periods of reduced activity and funding in the 1970s and 1980s following forecasts that proved overly optimistic about near-term capabilities. Some long-term forecast

Note: The claim mentions periods of reduced activity and funding in the 1970s and 1980s, which is not mentioned in the source. The claim states that some long-term forecasts tracked closer to observed compute and capability trends than purely intuitive predictions, which is not explicitly stated in the source, but is implied.

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Record type: citation

Record ID: page:ai-timelines:fn28

Source Check: AI Timelines - Footnote 28 | Longterm Wiki