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Anthropic IPO - Footnote 10

partial80% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The claim mentions Sasha de Marigny stating in late 2025 that there are "no immediate plans" for filing, but the source does not specify the timing as 'late 2025'. The claim mentions prediction markets reflecting ambiguity, specifically Kalshi assigning Anthropic a 72% probability of going public before OpenAI, and Manifold Markets showing a median prediction of June 2027. This information is not present in the source.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

partial80%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
Found: While some analysts view a 2026 IPO as feasible, others consider such a quick timeline unlikely without a formal SEC filing. Prediction markets reflect this ambiguity: Kalshi assigns Anthropic a 72% p

Note: The claim mentions Sasha de Marigny stating in late 2025 that there are "no immediate plans" for filing, but the source does not specify the timing as 'late 2025'. The claim mentions prediction markets reflecting ambiguity, specifically Kalshi assigning Anthropic a 72% probability of going public before OpenAI, and Manifold Markets showing a median prediction of June 2027. This information is not present in the source.

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Record ID: page:anthropic-ipo:fn10

Source Check: Anthropic IPO - Footnote 10 | Longterm Wiki