EA and Longtermist Wins and Losses - Footnote 38

Note: The claim states that MIRI concluded in a January 2024 strategy update that the alignment field is "very unlikely" to make progress quickly enough to prevent human extinction. The source does not mention a January 2024 strategy update. It only mentions a general strategy update and communications strategy update earlier in the year. The claim states that MIRI pivoted toward policy and public communications, with technical research "no longer our top priority, at least for the foreseeable future." The source states that MIRI's new focus is on informing policymakers and the general public about the dire situation, and attempting to mobilize a response. It also states that although they continue to support some AI alignment research efforts, they now believe that absent an international government effort to suspend frontier AI research, an extinction-level catastrophe is extremely likely. The source does not explicitly state that technical research is "no longer our top priority, at least for the foreseeable future." The claim states that MIRI's annual spending ranged from $5.4M–$7.7M (2019–2023). The source states that their yearly expenses in 2019–2023 ranged from $5.4M to $7.7M, with a high in 2020 and a low in 2022.