All Source Checks
confirmed100% confidence
1 evidence check
Last checked: 4/3/2026
Migrated from citation_quotes. Original verdict: accurate
Evidence — 1 source, 1 check
samotsvety.org/track-record/(1 check)
confirmed100%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
Found: Lifland ranks #1 on the RAND Forecasting Initiative (CSET-Foretell/INFER) all-time leaderboard. On GJOpen, his Brier score of 0.23 outperforms the median of 0.301 (ratio 0.76), and he secured 2nd plac…
Note: Migrated from citation_quotes accuracy check. Original verdict: accurate
Debug info
Record type: citation
Record ID: page:eli-lifland:fn22