Citation

FutureSearch - Footnote 7

contradicted30% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

unsupported: The source does not mention FutureSearch being established in San Bruno, California. unsupported: The source does not mention FutureSearch being established shortly after the release of GPT-4. inaccurate: The source only mentions Dan Schwarz as the founder of FutureSearch, not Lawrence Phillips. unsupported: The source does not mention Dan Schwarz creating Google's internal prediction market. unsupported: The source does not mention Lawrence Phillips leading the AI team at Metaculus or holding machine learning positions at Cambridge Consultants, GTN, Jawbone Health, and GSK.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-secret-sauce-of-accurate-ai-forecasting-with/id1558589105(1 check)

contradicted30%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: FutureSearch was established in 2023 in San Bruno, California, shortly after the release of GPT-4. The founding team brought deep expertise from the forecasting community: Dan Schwarz previously serve…

Note: unsupported: The source does not mention FutureSearch being established in San Bruno, California. unsupported: The source does not mention FutureSearch being established shortly after the release of GPT-4. inaccurate: The source only mentions Dan Schwarz as the founder of FutureSearch, not Lawrence Phillips. unsupported: The source does not mention Dan Schwarz creating Google's internal prediction market. unsupported: The source does not mention Lawrence Phillips leading the AI team at Metaculus or holding machine learning positions at Cambridge Consultants, GTN, Jawbone Health, and GSK.

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Record type: citation

Record ID: page:futuresearch:fn7