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Good Judgment (Forecasting) - Footnote 10

confirmed100% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

Migrated from citation_quotes. Original verdict: accurate

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

confirmed100%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
Found: By 2012, GJP had identified a subset of elite forecasters and organized them into teams of approximately 12 individuals. The median forecasts from these superforecaster teams proved 35-72% more accura

Note: Migrated from citation_quotes accuracy check. Original verdict: accurate

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Source Check: Good Judgment (Forecasting) - Footnote 10 | Longterm Wiki