Citation

Good Judgment (Forecasting) - Footnote 12

partial80% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The tournament lasted four years, not five. The source does not explicitly state that IARPA ended the tournament early due to GJP's dominance.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

goodjudgment.com/about/(1 check)

partial80%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: The tournament continued through 2015, with IARPA ending it early due to GJP's dominance. Throughout the five-year period, the project produced over 1 million individual forecasts, identified consiste…

Note: The tournament lasted four years, not five. The source does not explicitly state that IARPA ended the tournament early due to GJP's dominance.

Debug info

Record type: citation

Record ID: page:good-judgment:fn12