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Good Judgment (Forecasting) - Footnote 18

contradicted65% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

unsupported: The source does not mention the commercial organization expanding beyond geopolitics to address questions in finance, energy, public health, and organizational strategy. unsupported: The source does not mention assigning approximately 40 superforecasters to each client question. unsupported: The source does not mention offering workshops and seminars on probabilistic thinking, bias correction, and forecasting methodology to government agencies, corporations, and nonprofits across the United States, United Kingdom, Netherlands, and Turkey.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

contradicted65%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
Found: The commercial organization expanded beyond geopolitics to address questions in finance, energy, public health, and organizational strategy. Good Judgment developed proprietary tools like FutureFirst™

Note: unsupported: The source does not mention the commercial organization expanding beyond geopolitics to address questions in finance, energy, public health, and organizational strategy. unsupported: The source does not mention assigning approximately 40 superforecasters to each client question. unsupported: The source does not mention offering workshops and seminars on probabilistic thinking, bias correction, and forecasting methodology to government agencies, corporations, and nonprofits across the United States, United Kingdom, Netherlands, and Turkey.

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Record type: citation

Record ID: page:good-judgment:fn18

Source Check: Good Judgment (Forecasting) - Footnote 18 | Longterm Wiki