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Good Judgment (Forecasting) - Footnote 36

contradicted70% confidence

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Last checked: 4/3/2026

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goodjudgment.com/resources/the-superforecasters-track-record/the-first-championship-season/(1 check)

contradicted70%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: During the ACE tournament, teams of 12 superforecasters consistently outperformed larger groups of regular forecasters, suggesting that high-skill aggregation matters more than crowd size. Good Judgme…

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