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Good Judgment (Forecasting) - Footnote 51

partial90% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The wiki claim attributes the remaining 50% funding to Coefficient Giving, but the source says Open Philanthropy. The wiki claim says the funding commissioned six forecasts on potential US foreign aid cuts, but the source says the funding commissioned six forecasts about US government foreign aid funding, with a specific focus on global health programs.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

www.givewell.org/research/grants/good-judgment-inc-forecasts-on-us-foreign-aid-funding-march-2025GiveWell(1 check)
partial90%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
Found: \$72,000 (50% of a \$144,000 total project) to provide superforecaster predictions about US government foreign aid funding levels, with <EntityLink id="open-philanthropy">Coefficient Giving</EntityLin…

Note: The wiki claim attributes the remaining 50% funding to Coefficient Giving, but the source says Open Philanthropy. The wiki claim says the funding commissioned six forecasts on potential US foreign aid cuts, but the source says the funding commissioned six forecasts about US government foreign aid funding, with a specific focus on global health programs.

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Record ID: page:good-judgment:fn51

Source Check: Good Judgment (Forecasting) - Footnote 51 | Longterm Wiki