All Source Checks
confirmed100% confidence
1 evidence check
Last checked: 4/3/2026
Migrated from citation_quotes. Original verdict: accurate
Evidence — 1 source, 1 check
confirmed100%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
Found: The roots of Good Judgment trace back to Philip Tetlock's 1984 research on forecasting tournaments involving over 250 experts in political and economic trends. This early work revealed a surprising fi…
Note: Migrated from citation_quotes accuracy check. Original verdict: accurate
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Record type: citation
Record ID: page:good-judgment:fn7