All Source Checks
confirmed100% confidence
1 evidence check
Last checked: 4/3/2026
Migrated from citation_quotes. Original verdict: accurate
Evidence — 1 source, 1 check
issarice.com/betting(1 check)
confirmed100%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
Found: Rice has written critically about prediction calibration in rationalist and EA communities, noting that without standardized questions (unlike formal forecasting tournaments), individuals can manipula…
Note: Migrated from citation_quotes accuracy check. Original verdict: accurate
Debug info
Record type: citation
Record ID: page:issa-rice:fn26