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Kalshi (Prediction Market) - Footnote 87

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confirmed100% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

Migrated from citation_quotes. Original verdict: accurate

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

news.kalshi.com/p/harnessing-the-power-of-prediction-markets(1 check)

confirmed100%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: **Black Swan Events**: Referencing work by Nassim Taleb and <EntityLink id="philip-tetlock">Philip Tetlock</EntityLink>, EA Forum discussions note that prediction markets systematically fail on fat-ta…

Note: Migrated from citation_quotes accuracy check. Original verdict: accurate

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