Citation

Nuño Sempere - Footnote 2

partial80% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The source does not state that Samotsvety won the CSET-Foretell competition. The source does not contain the quote 'by an absolutely obscene margin, around twice as good as the next-best team in terms of the relative Brier score.' The source does not contain the quote 'some of the best superforecasters in the world.' attributed to Scott Alexander.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GAFwc5jGFjqSetJiu/sentinel-early-detection-and-response-for-global EA Funds(1 check)

partial80%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: He co-founded <EntityLink id="samotsvety">Samotsvety</EntityLink>, a forecasting group that won the CSET-Foretell competition "by an absolutely obscene margin, around twice as good as the next-best te…

Note: The source does not state that Samotsvety won the CSET-Foretell competition. The source does not contain the quote 'by an absolutely obscene margin, around twice as good as the next-best team in terms of the relative Brier score.' The source does not contain the quote 'some of the best superforecasters in the world.' attributed to Scott Alexander.

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Record type: citation

Record ID: page:nuno-sempere:fn2