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Nuño Sempere - Footnote 5

partial85% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The claim that he has consulted with major AI labs and institutions, managed teams of 10-20 forecasters, and contributed significantly to forecasting methodology research is not supported by the provided source. The claim mentions AI doom probabilities around 80% by 2070, while the source mentions 80% doom by 2070 in the summary, it is in the context of the author feeling uneasy about high existential risk estimates from AGI.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

nunosempere.com/blog/2023/01/23/my-highly-personal-skepticism-braindump-on-existential-risk/(1 check)

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: His 2023 "skepticism braindump" challenged AI doom probabilities around 80% by 2070, arguing they may reflect "selection effects, social pressures, and methodological issues" within the rationalist an…

Note: The claim that he has consulted with major AI labs and institutions, managed teams of 10-20 forecasters, and contributed significantly to forecasting methodology research is not supported by the provided source. The claim mentions AI doom probabilities around 80% by 2070, while the source mentions 80% doom by 2070 in the summary, it is in the context of the author feeling uneasy about high existential risk estimates from AGI.

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