Citation

Philip Tetlock - Footnote 31

partial90% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The claim does not mention that the tournament was among five universities.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

pikprofessors.upenn.edu/meet-the-professors/philip-tetlock(1 check)

partial90%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: intelligence agencies to create a four-year geopolitical forecasting tournament sponsored by IARPA (Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity).

Note: The claim does not mention that the tournament was among five universities.

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