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Philip Tetlock - Footnote 37

unverifiable0% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The source does not contain any information about the accuracy of superforecasters compared to average forecasters or their ability to distinguish degrees of uncertainty.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

unverifiable0%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
Found: According to analysis of the project's results, superforecasters were approximately 60-85% more accurate than average forecasters and demonstrated the ability to distinguish 10-15 degrees of uncertain

Note: The source does not contain any information about the accuracy of superforecasters compared to average forecasters or their ability to distinguish degrees of uncertainty.

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Record ID: page:philip-tetlock:fn37

Source Check: Philip Tetlock - Footnote 37 | Longterm Wiki