Citation

Philip Tetlock - Footnote 51

confirmed100% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

Migrated from citation_quotes. Original verdict: accurate

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

www.founderspledge.com/research/prof-philip-tetlocks-forecasting-research(1 check)

confirmed100%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: The project developed techniques including extremizing weighted averages (adjusting crowd predictions to account for shared information) and Bayesian question clusters (breaking complex forecasts into…

Note: Migrated from citation_quotes accuracy check. Original verdict: accurate

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