Citation

Philip Tetlock - Footnote 6

contradicted30% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The source does not mention the National Academy of Sciences Committee on Nuclear War Prevention. The source does not mention the analysis of 82,000 predictions from 284 experts. The source does not specify the time frame of 1984 to 2003.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

pikprofessors.upenn.edu/meet-the-professors/philip-tetlock(1 check)

contradicted30%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: Tetlock's most influential work emerged from forecasting tournaments he initiated during the Cold War era through the National Academy of Sciences Committee on Nuclear War Prevention, analyzing over 8…

Note: The source does not mention the National Academy of Sciences Committee on Nuclear War Prevention. The source does not mention the analysis of 82,000 predictions from 284 experts. The source does not specify the time frame of 1984 to 2003.

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Record ID: page:philip-tetlock:fn6