Citation

Philip Tetlock - Footnote 78

confirmed100% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

Migrated from citation_quotes. Original verdict: accurate

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/philip-tetlock-forecasting-research/(1 check)

confirmed100%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: Domains involving high combinatorial complexity—such as AI risk debates or complex simulations—reveal blind spots even in skilled forecasters, as the number of relevant variables exceeds human cogniti…

Note: Migrated from citation_quotes accuracy check. Original verdict: accurate

Debug info

Record type: citation

Record ID: page:philip-tetlock:fn78