Citation

Philip Tetlock - Footnote 92

partial90% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The source does not explicitly mention 'lack of feedback mechanisms' as a limitation. The source refers to 'UN intergovernmental panel on Climate Change forecasts for year 2100' rather than 'IPCC projections to 2100'.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/philip-tetlock-forecasting-research/(1 check)

partial90%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: Tetlock himself has expressed skepticism about very long-term forecasts (such as IPCC projections to 2100), noting that wide estimate spreads and the lack of feedback mechanisms limit the applicabilit…

Note: The source does not explicitly mention 'lack of feedback mechanisms' as a limitation. The source refers to 'UN intergovernmental panel on Climate Change forecasts for year 2100' rather than 'IPCC projections to 2100'.

Debug info

Record type: citation

Record ID: page:philip-tetlock:fn92