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Polymarket - Footnote 24

partial85% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The source does not mention the specific amount of predictions made during 2024, only that there was a 48x surge in trading volume. The source does not mention research published in May 2024 that found Polymarket outperformed traditional polling in predicting the election outcome, particularly in swing states, adjusting dynamically to real-world events like assassination attempts and debate performances while polling remained relatively static.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
Found: The platform experienced a 48x surge in trading volume, with over \$8 billion in predictions made during 2024. Research published in May 2024 found that Polymarket outperformed traditional polling in

Note: The source does not mention the specific amount of predictions made during 2024, only that there was a 48x surge in trading volume. The source does not mention research published in May 2024 that found Polymarket outperformed traditional polling in predicting the election outcome, particularly in swing states, adjusting dynamically to real-world events like assassination attempts and debate performances while polling remained relatively static.

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Record type: citation

Record ID: page:polymarket:fn24