Polymarket - Footnote 24
1 evidence check
Last checked: 4/3/2026
The source does not mention the specific amount of predictions made during 2024, only that there was a 48x surge in trading volume. The source does not mention research published in May 2024 that found Polymarket outperformed traditional polling in predicting the election outcome, particularly in swing states, adjusting dynamically to real-world events like assassination attempts and debate performances while polling remained relatively static.
Evidence — 1 source, 1 check
Note: The source does not mention the specific amount of predictions made during 2024, only that there was a 48x surge in trading volume. The source does not mention research published in May 2024 that found Polymarket outperformed traditional polling in predicting the election outcome, particularly in swing states, adjusting dynamically to real-world events like assassination attempts and debate performances while polling remained relatively static.
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Record type: citation
Record ID: page:polymarket:fn24