All Source Checks
Citation
Polymarket - Footnote 4
contradicted70% confidence
1 evidence check
Last checked: 4/3/2026
unsupported: The source does not mention Shayne Coplan as the founder of Polymarket. unsupported: The source does not provide any data on the prediction accuracy of Polymarket, such as exceeding 90% one month before event resolution.
Evidence — 1 source, 1 check
contradicted70%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
Found: Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, Polymarket positions itself as providing accurate, unbiased, and real-time probabilities for significant events by leveraging prediction markets where participants ar…
Note: unsupported: The source does not mention Shayne Coplan as the founder of Polymarket. unsupported: The source does not provide any data on the prediction accuracy of Polymarket, such as exceeding 90% one month before event resolution.
Debug info
Record type: citation
Record ID: page:polymarket:fn4