Citation

Robin Hanson - Footnote 8

partial85% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The claim mentions Policy Analysis Market (2001-2003), but the source refers to DARPA's FutureMAP. These are likely the same, but the source does not explicitly state this. The claim states that he was the 'principal architect of numerous pioneering markets', but the source states he was a 'chief architect' of some markets and 'started' another. This is a slight overclaim.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

intelligence.org/2013/11/01/robin-hanson/(1 check)

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: Since beginning this work in 1988, he has been the principal architect of numerous pioneering markets, including the first internal corporate prediction market at Xanadu (1990), the first web-based ma…

Note: The claim mentions Policy Analysis Market (2001-2003), but the source refers to DARPA's FutureMAP. These are likely the same, but the source does not explicitly state this. The claim states that he was the 'principal architect of numerous pioneering markets', but the source states he was a 'chief architect' of some markets and 'started' another. This is a slight overclaim.

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Record type: citation

Record ID: page:robin-hanson:fn8