Citation

Samotsvety - Footnote 25

partial85% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The source does not explicitly state that the group 'maintains approximately 15 active members'. The source lists more than 15 members. The source mentions members who are Superforecasters and have topped leaderboards, but doesn't explicitly state that membership is *selected* based on performance in forecasting competitions.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

samotsvety.org/track-record/(1 check)

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: The group maintains approximately 15 active members selected based on demonstrated performance in forecasting competitions, particularly on Metaculus and INFER platforms. Members include several certi…

Note: The source does not explicitly state that the group 'maintains approximately 15 active members'. The source lists more than 15 members. The source mentions members who are Superforecasters and have topped leaderboards, but doesn't explicitly state that membership is *selected* based on performance in forecasting competitions.

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Record type: citation

Record ID: page:samotsvety:fn25