Citation

Samotsvety - Footnote 42

partial90% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The claim states the forecasters are in INFER/RAND history, but the source says INFER, operated by RAND. The claim states 'substantial gap' but the source says 'wide gap'.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

samotsvety.org/media-mentions/(1 check)

partial90%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Found: The four most accurate forecasters in INFER/RAND history are Samotsvety members, with a substantial gap separating them from the fifth-place forecaster. Individual members have achieved top rankings a…

Note: The claim states the forecasters are in INFER/RAND history, but the source says INFER, operated by RAND. The claim states 'substantial gap' but the source says 'wide gap'.

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Record ID: page:samotsvety:fn42