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Samotsvety - Footnote 53

partial80% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 4/3/2026

The claim that their forecasts appear in studies aggregating 9,300+ AGI/singularity predictions is not directly supported by the provided source. The source mentions their forecasts in various contexts but does not specify that they are part of studies aggregating 9,300+ AGI/singularity predictions. The claim that the group actively collaborates with organizations including the Forecasting Research Institute, Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute (QURI), Epoch AI, and Arb Research is not directly supported by the provided source. The source mentions the Forecasting Research Institute in the context of Dylan Matthews joking about it, but it does not explicitly state that Samotsvety actively collaborates with these organizations.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

partial80%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
Found: Their forecasts appear in studies aggregating 9,300+ AGI/singularity predictions and have influenced estimates used in AI Index reports. The group maintains an open consulting practice (contact: info@

Note: The claim that their forecasts appear in studies aggregating 9,300+ AGI/singularity predictions is not directly supported by the provided source. The source mentions their forecasts in various contexts but does not specify that they are part of studies aggregating 9,300+ AGI/singularity predictions. The claim that the group actively collaborates with organizations including the Forecasting Research Institute, Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute (QURI), Epoch AI, and Arb Research is not directly supported by the provided source. The source mentions the Forecasting Research Institute in the context of Dylan Matthews joking about it, but it does not explicitly state that Samotsvety actively collaborates with these organizations.

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Record ID: page:samotsvety:fn53