Skip to content
Longterm Wiki
All Source Checks
Division

Forecasting

confirmed95% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 3/26/2026

All three key fields are confirmed by the source: (1) name 'Forecasting' is explicitly stated as the division heading; (2) type 'fund' is confirmed by the text referring to it as 'the Fund' multiple times and describing grant-making activities; (3) status 'active' is confirmed by the presence of current work descriptions, featured grants, and active calls for proposals (e.g., 'Request for Proposals: AI for Forecasting and Sound Reasoning'). The source clearly presents this as an operational division with ongoing activities.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

confirmed95%Haiku 4.5 · 3/26/2026
Found: The source text identifies 'Forecasting' as a fund/division with active status. It states '30+ grants made $50+ million given' and describes ongoing work and featured grants, indicating active operati

Note: All three key fields are confirmed by the source: (1) name 'Forecasting' is explicitly stated as the division heading; (2) type 'fund' is confirmed by the text referring to it as 'the Fund' multiple times and describing grant-making activities; (3) status 'active' is confirmed by the presence of current work descriptions, featured grants, and active calls for proposals (e.g., 'Request for Proposals: AI for Forecasting and Sound Reasoning'). The source clearly presents this as an operational division with ongoing activities.

Debug info

Record type: division

Record ID: KTH1AhXH7l

Source Check: Forecasting | Longterm Wiki