Fact

OpenAI — Revenue Guidance: $30.0 billion

partial85% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 3/26/2026

The source confirms the 2026 projection of ~$30B (2.3x growth from $13.1B) and the 2028 projection of $100B. However, the source does not mention the 2027 projection of ~$62B or the 2030 target of $280B attributed to CFO Sarah Friar. The claim's 2026 and 2028 figures are confirmed, but the additional projections for 2027 and 2030 are unverifiable from this source. The source also does not explicitly attribute these projections to a specific date in January 2026 ('2026-01'), though it references Q3 2025 projections.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

epoch.ai/gradient-updates/openai-is-projecting-unprecedented-revenue-growth(1 check)

partial85%primaryHaiku 4.5 · 3/26/2026

Found: OpenAI expects to make $13 billion in revenue in 2025 and projects to grow its revenue by 2.3× in 2026, 2× in 2027, and 1.6× in 2028. According to The Information, in Q3 2025 OpenAI projected its 2028…

Note: The source confirms the 2026 projection of ~$30B (2.3x growth from $13.1B) and the 2028 projection of $100B. However, the source does not mention the 2027 projection of ~$62B or the 2030 target of $280B attributed to CFO Sarah Friar. The claim's 2026 and 2028 figures are confirmed, but the additional projections for 2027 and 2030 are unverifiable from this source. The source also does not explicitly attribute these projections to a specific date in January 2026 ('2026-01'), though it references Q3 2025 projections.

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Record type: fact

Record ID: f_3L0CrXb8fg