Grant·Bdtkqya6nD·Record·Profile

Grant: Good Judgment Inc. — COVID-19 Forecasting (Coefficient Giving → Good Judgment (Forecasting))

Verdictconfirmed95%

1 check · 4/9/2026

Deterministic match: grantee, amount, date matched in source snapshot (2714 rows)

Our claim

entire record

Grantee: Good Judgment (Forecasting)
Name: Good Judgment Inc. — COVID-19 Forecasting
Amount: $75,500
Currency: USD
Date: March 2020
Source: https://coefficientgiving.org/funds/
Notes: [Forecasting] Grant Investigator: Luke Muehlhauser This page was reviewed but not written by the grant investigator. Good Judgment Inc. staff also reviewed this page prior to publication. Open Philanthropy recommended a contract of $75,500 with Good Judgment Inc. to expand it… expand
[Forecasting] Grant Investigator: Luke Muehlhauser This page was reviewed but not written by the grant investigator. Good Judgment Inc. staff also reviewed this page prior to publication. Open Philanthropy recommended a contract of $75,500 with Good Judgment Inc. to expand its efforts to aggregate, publish, and track forecasts about the COVID-19 outbreak with the hope that the forecasts can help improve planning by health security professionals and the broader public, limit the spread of the virus, and save lives. The forecasts are aggregated each day from the most accurate 1-2% of forecasters from a large-scale, government-funded series of forecasting tournaments, plus an annual uptake of a handful of top performers from the nearly 40,000 forecasters on Good Judgement Open. This is related to our broader work on biosecurity and pandemic preparedness. This project was supported through a contractor agreement. While we typically do not publish pages for contractor agreements, we occasionally opt to do so. The grant amount was updated in June and October 2020, and in January 2021.

Source evidence

1 src · 1 check

coefficientgiving.org/funds/Coefficient Giving resource

confirmed95%deterministic-row-match · 4/9/2026

Name: Good Judgment Inc. — COVID-19 Forecasting
Grantee: Good Judgment Inc.
Focus Area: Forecasting
Amount: $75,500.00
Date: March 2020
Description: Grant Investigator: Luke Muehlhaus

NoteDeterministic match: grantee, amount, date matched in source snapshot (2714 rows)

Case № Bdtkqya6nDFiled 4/9/2026Confidence 95%