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Grant: Metaculus — Forecasting Tournaments (Coefficient Giving → Metaculus)

Verdictconfirmed95%
1 check · 4/9/2026

Deterministic match: grantee, amount, date matched in source snapshot (2714 rows)

Our claim

entire record
Grantee
Metaculus
Name
Metaculus — Forecasting Tournaments
Amount
$532,400
Currency
USD
Date
May 2024
Notes
[Navigating Transformative AI] Open Philanthropy recommended a grant of $532,400 to Metaculus to support a series of tournaments comparing the forecasting abilities of large language models and humans. This grant was funded via a request for proposals for projects benchmarking Lexpand[Navigating Transformative AI] Open Philanthropy recommended a grant of $532,400 to Metaculus to support a series of tournaments comparing the forecasting abilities of large language models and humans. This grant was funded via a request for proposals for projects benchmarking LLM agents on consequential real-world tasks. This falls within our focus area of potential risks from advanced artificial intelligence.

Source evidence

1 src · 1 check
confirmed95%deterministic-row-match · 4/9/2026
Name
Metaculus — Forecasting Tournaments
Grantee
Metaculus
Focus Area
Navigating Transformative AI
Amount
$532,400.00
Date
May 2024
Description
Open Philanthropy recommended a g

NoteDeterministic match: grantee, amount, date matched in source snapshot (2714 rows)

Case № HKVJQUFKTYFiled 4/9/2026Confidence 95%
Source Check: Grant: Metaculus — Forecasting Tournaments (Coefficient Giving -> Metaculus) | Longterm Wiki