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Grant: Good Judgment Inc. — H5N1 Forecasts (Coefficient Giving → Good Judgment (Forecasting))

Verdictconfirmed95%
1 check · 4/9/2026

Deterministic match: grantee, amount, date matched in source snapshot (2714 rows)

Our claim

entire record
Name
Good Judgment Inc. — H5N1 Forecasts
Amount
$150,000
Currency
USD
Date
February 2023
Notes
[Forecasting] Open Philanthropy recommended a contract of $150,000 with Good Judgment Inc. to commission public forecasts related to the H5N1 (bird flu) virus. These forecasts will be made by “superforecasters” (people with a strong track record of making accurate predictions). expand[Forecasting] Open Philanthropy recommended a contract of $150,000 with Good Judgment Inc. to commission public forecasts related to the H5N1 (bird flu) virus. These forecasts will be made by “superforecasters” (people with a strong track record of making accurate predictions). This follows our March 2020 contract for COVID-19 forecasts. This project was supported through a contractor agreement. While we typically do not publish pages for contractor agreements, we occasionally opt to do so.

Source evidence

1 src · 1 check
confirmed95%deterministic-row-match · 4/9/2026
Name
Good Judgment Inc. — H5N1 Forecasts
Grantee
Good Judgment Inc.
Focus Area
Forecasting
Amount
$150,000.00
Date
February 2023
Description
Open Philanthropy recommended a cont

NoteDeterministic match: grantee, amount, date matched in source snapshot (2714 rows)

Case № O5HO2YJ_dAFiled 4/9/2026Confidence 95%