Grant·lCMyQHwJ8g·Record·Profile

Grant: Testing how the accuracy of impact forecasting varies with the timeframe of prediction. (Long-Term Future Fund (LTFF) → David Rhys Bernard)

Verdictconfirmed95%

1 check · 4/9/2026

Deterministic match: grantee, amount, date, name matched in source snapshot (1628 rows)

Our claim

entire record

Name: Testing how the accuracy of impact forecasting varies with the timeframe of prediction.
Amount: $55,000
Currency: USD
Date: October 2020
Source: https://funds.effectivealtruism.org/grants
Notes: [Long-Term Future Fund] Testing how the accuracy of impact forecasting varies with the timeframe of prediction.

1 src · 1 check

confirmed95%deterministic-row-match · 4/9/2026

Name: Testing how the accuracy of impact forecasting varies with the timeframe of prediction.
Fund: Long-Term Future Fund
Grantee: David Rhys Bernard
Amount: 55000
Round: 2020 Q4

NoteDeterministic match: grantee, amount, date, name matched in source snapshot (1628 rows)

Case № lCMyQHwJ8gFiled 4/9/2026Confidence 95%