Skip to content
Longterm Wiki
All Source Checks
Personnel

Stephen Grugett's

partial85% confidence

1 evidence check

Last checked: 3/20/2026

The source confirms Stephen Grugett's role as Co-Founder and CEO, and the founding date of December 2021. However, the organization identifier 'FISYNGdZcf4n' does not appear in the source text. The actual organization is called 'Manifold' (formerly 'Manifold Markets'), with URL manifold.markets. The record uses an unrecognized organization identifier instead of the actual organization name, which is a significant discrepancy. The role and person are verified, but the organization field contains incorrect data.

Evidence — 1 source, 1 check

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 3/20/2026
Found: Stephen Grugett is confirmed as a founder (one of three: Austin Chen, James Grugett, and Stephen Grugett) and current CEO. Founded December 2021. However, the organization name is 'Manifold' or 'Manif

Note: The source confirms Stephen Grugett's role as Co-Founder and CEO, and the founding date of December 2021. However, the organization identifier 'FISYNGdZcf4n' does not appear in the source text. The actual organization is called 'Manifold' (formerly 'Manifold Markets'), with URL manifold.markets. The record uses an unrecognized organization identifier instead of the actual organization name, which is a significant discrepancy. The role and person are verified, but the organization field contains incorrect data.

Debug info

Record type: personnel

Record ID: uWmAa2mhnx

Source Check: Stephen Grugett's | Longterm Wiki