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Citation·page:ai-timelines:fn18

AI Timelines - Footnote 18

Verdictpartial85%
1 check · 4/29/2026

1 → partial

Our claim

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Source evidence

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partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe claim states that training compute increased from 2010 to 2024, but the source does not specify this time frame. The source states that training compute is expanding at a rate of approximately 4x per year, but does not specify the years. The claim states that Epoch AI analysis suggests training runs of 2×10²⁹ FLOP may be feasible by 2030, but the source states that training runs of 2e29 FLOP will likely be feasible by 2030.

Case № page:ai-timelines:fn18Filed 4/29/2026Confidence 85%