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Citation·page:kalshi:fn58

Kalshi (Prediction Market) - Footnote 58

Verdictcontradicted50%
2 checks · 1 src · 4/29/2026

2 → contradicted

Our claim

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Source evidence

1 src · 2 checks
contradicted30%citation-accuracy-check · 4/18/2026

NoteWRONG NUMBERS: The source does not mention that Kalshi and Polymarket have amassed over $44 billion in trading volume during 2025. MISLEADING PARAPHRASE: The source mentions that Polymarket is not operational in the US as of December 2023, not that it has faced restrictions on US users. UNSUPPORTED: The source does not mention that Kalshi and Polymarket have created a duopoly in the prediction market space.

contradicted50%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe source does not mention that Kalshi and Polymarket have created a duopoly. The source does not state that Kalshi and Polymarket collectively amassed over $44 billion in trading volume during 2025. The source states that Polymarket is not operational in the US as of December 2023, not that it has faced restrictions on US users.

Case № page:kalshi:fn58Filed 4/29/2026Confidence 40%