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Citation·page:kalshi:fn7

Kalshi (Prediction Market) - Footnote 7

Verdictcontradicted60%
2 checks · 1 src · 4/29/2026

1 → contradicted; dissent: 1 → unverifiable

Our claim

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Source evidence

1 src · 2 checks
unverifiable20%citation-accuracy-check · 4/18/2026

Noteunsupported: CFTC approval date unsupported: official launch date unsupported: platform growth in 2024-2025 unsupported: landmark federal court victory in September 2024 unsupported: election contracts unsupported: CFTC objections unsupported: trading volumes exceeding $1 billion weekly unsupported: millions of users across 140+ countries

contradicted60%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteWRONG NUMBERS: The source does not mention CFTC approval in November 2020 or the official launch in July 2021. WRONG NUMBERS: The source does not mention a landmark federal court victory in September 2024 that allowed it to offer election contracts, overcoming CFTC objections. WRONG NUMBERS: The source states that millions of users access Kalshi weekly, not that there are millions of users across 140+ countries. WRONG DATE: The source is dated December 2, 2025, and states "© 2026 Kalshi."

Case № page:kalshi:fn7Filed 4/29/2026Confidence 60%
Source Check: Kalshi (Prediction Market) - Footnote 7 | Longterm Wiki