Index
Citation·page:manifest:fn1
Manifest (Forecasting Conference) - Footnote 1
Verdictpartial85%
1 check · 4/29/20261 → partial
Our claim
entire recordNo record data available.
Source evidence
1 src · 1 checkforum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/MHenxzydsNgRzSMHY/my-experience-at-the-controversial-manifest-2024resource
partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
NoteThe source does not mention the specific date of the event (June 7-9, 2024). The source does not mention Substack writers or prediction market enthusiasts as attendees, only that the event was nominally about prediction markets.
Case № page:manifest:fn1Filed 4/29/2026Confidence 85%