Index
Citation·page:nuno-sempere:fn2
Nuño Sempere - Footnote 2
Verdictpartial80%
1 check · 4/29/20261 → partial
Our claim
entire recordNo record data available.
Source evidence
1 src · 1 checkforum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GAFwc5jGFjqSetJiu/sentinel-early-detection-and-response-for-globalresource
partial80%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026
NoteThe source does not state that Samotsvety won the CSET-Foretell competition. The source does not contain the quote 'by an absolutely obscene margin, around twice as good as the next-best team in terms of the relative Brier score.' The source does not contain the quote 'some of the best superforecasters in the world.' attributed to Scott Alexander.
Case № page:nuno-sempere:fn2Filed 4/29/2026Confidence 80%